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Republicans have leads among whites — particularly white men, those with less education and evangelical Protestants — as well as members of the Silent Generation. A new analysis of long-term trends in party affiliation among the public provides a detailed portrait of where the parties stand among various groups in the population.
It draws on more than 25, interviews conducted by the Pew Research Center inwhich allows examination of partisan affiliation across even relatively small racial, ethnic, educational and income subgroups.
Explore detailed tables for here. The share of independents in the public, which long ago surpassed the percentages of either Democrats or Republicans, continues to increase.
This is the highest percentage of independents in more than 75 years of public opinion polling. For a timeline of party affiliation among the public sincesee this interactive feature. This report examines partisan affiliation among all adults, providing an in-depth look at subgroups of the public and tracking trends over time.
To be sure, party identification also often differs by level of political engagement. But with the presidential election more than 18 months away, this report is intended to give a broad perspective on party identification.
The demographic patterns among the general public seen throughout this report are mirrored among registered voters. As the presidential election grows closer, we will update this report on trends in partisan affiliation among registered voters.
A closer look at … Race and ethnicity. Gender differences are evident in nearly all subgroups: Across all educational categories, women are more likely than men to affiliate with the Democratic Party or lean Democratic. There are only slight differences in partisan affiliation between older and younger millennials.
Republicans lead in leaned party identification by 48 points among Mormons and 46 points among white evangelical Protestants. Younger white evangelicals those under age 35 are about as likely older white evangelicals to identify as Republicans or lean Republican.
Adults who have no religious affiliation lean Democratic by a wide margins 36 points. The balance of leaned partisan affiliation among white Catholics and white mainline Protestants closely resembles that of all whites. Party Affiliation The biggest change in partisan affiliation in recent years is the growing share of Americans who decline to affiliate with either party: The rise in the share of independents has been particularly dramatic over the past decade: Since then, the percentage of independents has increased nine points while Republican affiliation has fallen six points.
Most of those who identify as independents lean toward a party. And in many respects, partisan leaners have attitudes that are similar to those of partisans — they just prefer not to identify with a party. Democrats have led in leaned party identification among the public for most of the past two decades.
Among both men and women, increasing percentages describe themselves as independents. Sincewomen have been consistently more likely than men to identify as Democrats or lean Democratic. Party ID by Race, Education There continue to be stark divisions in partisan leaning by race and ethnicity: Party identification among Asian Americans has shown little change in recent years.
This data is based on interviews conducted in English. Differences in partisan identification across educational categories have remained fairly stable in recent years, with one exception: Highly-educated people increasingly identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party.
There has been less change since in the partisan leanings of those with less education. Inthe Silent Generation leaned Democratic by a wide margin: The Democratic leanings of the Millennials are associated with the greater racial and ethnic diversity among this generation.
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